Cabinet meets to consider whether Auckland should join the rest of the country in Alert Level 1 on Monday afternoon. The city seems to have crushed the cluster that saw it thrown into a second lockdown in August.
But if there's one certainty when it comes to Covid-19 it's that very little is certain.
Is New Zealand losing the caution that scored us elimination the first time around?
Covid-19 modeller Shaun Hendy speaks to Philippa Tolley.