28 Oct 2022

Heavy rain and muggy conditions on weekend horizon and beyond

1:49 pm on 28 October 2022
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Rain is on the way for most of the country. Photo: Unsplash / Daoudi Aissa

The weather is again turning wet and windy in some parts of the country with heavy rain already hitting parts of the South Island.

The front expected to move up the country today and into the weekend.

MetService has issued several heavy rain watches and warnings from Westland through to Northland.

It says warm, humid air will see temperatures of about 10C above what is typical in October.

Meteorologist Lewis Ferris told Morning Report that rain has started falling on the west coast of the South Island and was going to wrap over the majority of the country this weekend.

"If you've been looking at the forecast, you might have been looking at the temperatures and thinking hey, this is looking like a great weekend to hear to the beach and some people will have that nice beach weather, but it's really warm, humid air coming with a lot of rain and if it's not turned up at your place just yet it will be making its way in the next couple of days."

The muggy cloudly weather could offer a beach day for some around the North Island on Saturday, but by Sunday there will be heavy showers for many around the country, he said.

Those attending weekend sports events are advised to take their rain jackets.

"It is true exactly of the Rugby World Cup quarterfinals this weekend," he said.

"They might be lucky for some dry matches on Saturday. I still would take along a little rain jacket. It will be incredibly muggy up around Whangārei but it is Sunday matches in Auckland that look to be pretty rainy."

He said the front was being dragged down from the sub-tropics and another front was on the way next week too.

"We have a low pressure system sitting out around Tasmania and that is just bringing in this constant flow of northerly winds, really humid.

"It's bringing very very warm temperatures and people will be kicking off the blankets overnight if they haven't already done that.

"That low just stays pretty stagnant around Tasmania, never really coming too close to New Zealand, but keeping that northerly flow over the country from now through the weekend.

"We have a brief respite and the beginning of next week where we see basically another mirrored system coming on to the country around Tuesday, which will bring further rain and really strong northerly winds through next week from about Tuesday onwards."

Parts of South Island could see up to 200mm rain

MetService is predicting up to 200 millimetres of rain could fall on parts of the South Island still grappling with the impacts of recent flooding.

It has issued Orange heavy rain warnings for Tasman west of Motueka, Buller, Richmond and Bryant Ranges, and the Rai Valley, Westland south of Otira, and Mount Taranaki.

Meteorologist Angus Hines said the west and north of the South Island would bare the brunt of the rain initially from Friday afternoon and evening.

"Many spots could get in excess of 100 millimetres over the next day or so, some places will be significantly above that," Hines said.

That was expected to include parts of the already sodden Tasman district and the West Coast, and could mean hazardous conditions.

"Further flooding, we could be looking at more slips and road closures. We could be looking at treacherous conditions on the road with poor visibility and slippery road surfaces there so people in those severe weather warning areas certainly should be aware of what's coming and be ready to see some rain."

Heavy rain watches are in place for the Bay of Plenty, the central North Island hill country from Waitomo and North Taranaki to Tongariro National Park, the Tararua Range, and the ranges of Westland north of Otira.