The 2024 Paris Olympic Games medals are displayed inside a custom-designed case manufactured by Louis Vuitton, on 22 July, 2024. Photo: AFP
Host France will almost triple its gold medal tally from the Tokyo Olympics in Paris and should fulfil President Emmanuel Macron's target of a top-five finish on the overall medals table, according to a forecast by Nielsen's Gracenote.
The final edition of the Gracenote virtual medals table, which is compiled using results data from key global and continental competitions since the Tokyo Games, is predicting 27 gold and 60 total medals for the host nation.
Meanwhile, New Zealand is forecast to finish 16th equal alongside Denmark and Turkey with a total of 14 medals.
That would consist of four golds, four silvers and six bronzes, Gracenote predicted.
If the forecast is correct, it would fall short of the record 20 medals won at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.
At the Olympics in Rio de Janeiro the Kiwis brought home 18 medals.
Gold medallists Grace Prendergast and Kerri Gowler who triumphed in the women's pairs at Tokyo. Photo: AFP
French gold medal hopes include Teddy Riner, aiming for a third individual title in judo, the rugby sevens team with halfback Antoine Dupont at the helm, and the men's football team managed by Thierry Henry and captained by Alexandre Lacazette.
France halfback Antoine Dupont who has switched to sevens this year in the hope of guiding the hosts to a gold medal. Photo: AFP
France finished eighth in the gold tally in Tokyo three years ago with 10 golds but is on course for its best Olympics since 1900, when it hosted the Games for the first time and topped the table with 27 golds.
Gracenote is forecasting that the United States will finish on top of the medals table for a fourth successive Games with 39 golds and 112 medals in all, although China could run it close if it can add a few more golds to its predicted 34.
Britain will hold on to fourth place behind France with 17 gold medals, Gracenote said, followed by the Netherlands (16) and Australia (15).
Japan will experience a dip after finishing third on home soil in Tokyo three years ago with 27 gold medals. The Gracenote table has the Japanese team seventh with 13 titles.
The Russian Olympic Committee team finished fifth on the Tokyo medals table but only a few Russians and Belarusians will compete this year as neutral athletes due to sanctions put in place after the invasion of Ukraine.
"With competitors from Russia and Belarus being banned from international competition in almost all Olympic sports since February 2022, it is not possible to assess potential performance accurately," Gracenote said.
"However, it appears that the number of competitors from these countries is severely limited in Paris."
The opening ceremony of the third Paris Olympics will take place on Friday (Saturday morning NZ time).
-Reuters / RNZ
